When official narratives don’t add up, when policy decisions seem disconnected from their stated goals, when the same patterns repeat across decades — that’s where my work begins. I reconstruct the strategic interests behind political decisions by analyzing primary sources, think tank publications, military doctrines, and economic data. The focus: understanding who benefits, which historical patterns persist, and how power actually operates beneath the surface of daily news cycles.
Published In: Independent analysis featured in Overton Magazine, Apolut Media, Free21, Manova News, Transition News, … — available here in English and German.
Analysis that respects your intelligence. Sources you can verify. Context that matters.
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The US-Materials Paradox
The most critical vulnerability of U.S. military power lies not on the battlefield, but in its supply chains. This article examines how deep dependence on Chinese-controlled critical materials systematically undermines Washington’s deterrence posture in the Indo-Pacific. Drawing on Pentagon data, RAND assessments, and industrial analyses, it reveals a strategic catch-22 in which military action appears…
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BOARD OF PEACE – Part 1
Donald Trump presents himself as a peacemaker for Gaza – through the creation of a so-called “Board of Peace.” But behind the humanitarian rhetoric lies a far more disturbing reality. In Part 1 of this three-part series, I dismantle the origins, historical backdrop, and legal contradictions of this initiative. When those who enabled destruction suddenly…
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OPERATION PIVOT
A president who openly discards international law. Four global fronts. And a final attempt to save American hegemony. “Operation Pivot” reveals why Trump’s actions are not chaos, but a ruthless strategy: oil, chokepoints, de-dollarization – and a world order collapsing in real time.
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The US-War on Drugs
The “War on Drugs” functions less as a security policy than as a geopolitical tool. Drawing on international drug data, historical precedents, and recent escalations, this article exposes how US drug-war rhetoric is repeatedly used to legitimize interventions, covert operations, and power projection—even where empirical evidence fails to support the official narrative.
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CIA & Drug Trafficking:
Six decades. Three continents. One recurring pattern. From Vietnam and Nicaragua to Afghanistan and Venezuela, this timeline exposes how the so-called “War on Drugs” was repeatedly subordinated to geopolitical objectives. Tolerance, instrumentalization, and selective outrage emerge as structural features of covert power projection—leaving destruction far beyond the drug trade itself.
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Thailand’s Impossible Border:
Myanmar is collapsing next door – and Thailand is running out of room to maneuver. As civil war, criminal networks and state fragmentation spill across borders, Bangkok is caught between humanitarian pressure, economic dependencies and great-power interests. ASEAN remains paralyzed, China quietly consolidates influence, and Thailand finds itself managing a crisis it can neither solve…
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Greenland as a Turning Point – Add-On
Greenland is not a frozen backwater — it is the breaking point of the Western security order. If the United States is willing to threaten NATO territory, a taboo collapses: who defends the alliance when the aggressor comes from within? This analysis explains why Greenland marks the next escalation after Venezuela — and why NATO…
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Greenland as a Turning Point
Greenland is not a frozen backwater — it is the breaking point of the Western security order. If the United States is willing to threaten NATO territory, a taboo collapses: who defends the alliance when the aggressor comes from within? This analysis explains why Greenland marks the next escalation after Venezuela — and why NATO…
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Venezuela – Breaking Democracy–Add-On
Venezuela was not a mistake — it was a rehearsal. This subscriber-only analysis reveals what comes after the collapse of legal restraint: which regions are next, how China, Russia, and Iran are likely to respond, and why neutrality is no longer a viable strategy for smaller states. If you want to understand the rules of…
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Venezuela: Breaking Democracy
The abduction of a sitting president, the seizure of oil tankers on the high seas, and the open violation of the UN Charter mark a historic rupture in international norms. Venezuela is not an isolated case—it is a blueprint. This article examines how power has replaced law, why the “rules-based order” no longer protects smaller…
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Thailand: The Frontline Nobody’s Watching
Thailand is no longer on the periphery of the emerging world order – it stands at its center. As great powers reposition across the Pacific, Southeast Asia is becoming the strategic pre-war zone of a potential global conflict. This analysis explains why infrastructure, trade routes, and digital dependencies have become instruments of war – and…
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From RAND Study to National Security Strategy
The U.S. National Security Strategy of November 2025 pivots to the Pacific, declares Russia irrelevant, and effectively designates the EU as an adversary. What appears to be Trump’s whim is the verbatim implementation of RAND studies from 2016 and 2017. America’s most influential think tank war-gamed a conflict with China and defined a “window until…
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The United States Declares War on Europe
The new US National Security Strategy marks a historic rupture: Europe is no longer seen as a partner, but as a liability. Energetically detached, economically weakened, and politically downgraded, the continent is being strategically discarded. This is not a misunderstanding — it is a silent declaration of war.
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The €300 Billion Boomerang
By targeting Russian central bank reserves, Brussels crosses a red line — and puts the euro itself at risk. What is framed as aid for Ukraine could become a €300-billion boomerang: legally, economically, and geopolitically. This article explains why Europe’s financial credibility is irreversibly damaged — and why a gold-backed BRICS currency is emerging at…
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Venezuela: Escalation as Announced
The bombing of Caracas and the capture of President Maduro appear as a shocking escalation – yet they were planned in advance. US think tanks openly outlined the scenario years ago. Venezuela exposes how regime change, violations of international law, and military force are now exercised without disguise – and why the so-called rules-based order…
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Germany’s Military Readiness Gap
Germany claims to be “war-ready” and “capable of victory” – yet a sober assessment of equipment, ammunition stocks, logistics, and operational readiness reveals a dangerous gap between political rhetoric and military reality. This article examines why massive defense spending has failed to produce a sustainable fighting force – and what this means for NATO, Europe,…
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The Kra Canal
Thailand faces a once-in-a-century decision: Should it build the long-discussed Kra Canal – a maritime shortcut with massive geopolitical weight – or pursue the quieter Landbridge project linking two oceans by rail and road? This article compares both scenarios in detail: economic opportunities, strategic risks, and regional power shifts. Behind the infrastructure lies a deeper…
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Zelensky’s 20 Points
What’s presented as a peace plan turns out to be a geopolitical wish list – full of economic ambition, moral posturing, and strategic traps. This point-by-point analysis reveals: Not a single one of the 20 proposals seriously aims at de-escalation with Russia. Instead of peace, we get management, power games, and PR. Which raises the…
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China’s Silent Victory
China’s influence in Southeast Asia is not advancing through military force or open confrontation, but through infrastructure, trade, technology, and strategic patience. Thailand—long considered a neutral buffer and a formal U.S. ally—has become a case study in how power quietly shifts in a multipolar world. While the West clings to symbolic partnerships and moral rhetoric,…
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Germany’s Paper Army
Germany wants to become “capable of victory” – at least rhetorically. But what happens when political slogans collide with hard numbers, material readiness, logistics, training, and combat experience? This analysis dismantles the myth of Germany’s “Zeitenwende” and exposes a military built on illusion: ammunition for days, logistics for hours, and political rhetoric for years. A…
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Venezuela Intervention Part 2
Venezuela: Who Profits, Who Plans, Who Pays? To understand Venezuela, you have to follow the money. Part 2 exposes the actors driving the escalation: defense contractors, energy giants, think tanks, exile networks, and political donors – complete with names, numbers, and documented influence mechanisms. This chapter dismantles the architecture of a system where interventions are…
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Venezuela Intervention Part 1
The Operational Preparation – a Libya 2.0 While Washington sells its Caribbean military buildup as “counter-narcotics,” the strategic reality tells a different story: F-35 deployments, the 4th Fleet in striking distance, a step-by-step escalation ladder designed by the Atlantic Council, and a blueprint eerily reminiscent of Libya in 2011. Beneath the surface, this operation is…
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HORIZON EUROPE
HORIZON EUROPE: HOW EU RESEARCH FUNDS FLOW TO ISRAELI MILITARY TECH DESPITE CIVILIAN MANDATE The European Union claims that Horizon Europe funds only civilian research. Yet more than €3.4 billion have flowed to Israel — to companies and institutions deeply embedded in the country’s military and intelligence apparatus. From drone navigation systems used in combat…
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The EU Backdoor to War
The EU Backdoor to War: How Ukraine’s Membership Could Trigger NATO-Russia Conflict. An EU accession of Ukraine is framed as an act of solidarity – yet it quietly embeds a legal mechanism that could pull Europe into a direct military confrontation with Russia. Article 42(7) of the EU Treaty creates an escalation path few citizens…
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World Peace in the Trenches – Why We Need to Recalibrate Democracy
World Peace in the Trenches – Why We Need to Recalibrate Democracy A provocative thought experiment: Would wars still be fought if heads of state had to serve in the frontline trenches themselves? The proposition sounds utopian—yet it exposes a fundamental flaw in modern democracies: the decoupling of decision-making from accountability. While Germany openly discusses…
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Palestine Recognition: Five States Declare Statehood While Funding the War That Destroys It
Palestine Recognition: Five States Declare Statehood While Funding the War That Destroys It * Five Western governments recognized Palestine — while continuing to arm the military campaign destroying it. What is presented as a “historic step” is in reality political theatre, masking ongoing complicity in Gaza’s devastation. A blunt examination of hypocrisy, war profiteering and…
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Venezuela, China, and the Defense of the Petrodollar: Libya 2.0?
Venezuela, China, and the Defense of the Petrodollar: Libya 2.0? * The escalating U.S.–Venezuela confrontation is not about drug trafficking – it’s about oil, China and the survival of the petrodollar. As Caracas shifts its exports into Yuan and Tether, Washington responds with military pressure. Is this the prelude to a “Libya 2.0” — a…
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Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and the Idea of an “Arab NATO Light”
Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and the Idea of an “Arab NATO Light” * The new Saudi–Pakistan defense pact may be more than a bilateral agreement: it hints at the emergence of an “Arab NATO light” combining military deterrence, nuclear guarantees and regional power alignment. An analysis of shifting security architectures in the Middle East — and…
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Leaked: German Industry Told to Prepare for War Economy by 2026
Part 2: Confidential corporate briefing reveals Berlin’s timeline for declaring “state of tension”—as NATO exercises escalate toward conflict readiness Part 1 you will be able to find here:Arming Into Decline: Why Germany and the EU Are Investing in War Part 3 you will be able to find here:EDIP: How the EU is Converting Europe into…
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Afghanistan: Trump’s Bagram Move and the New Great Game
Afghanistan: The Dangerous Comeback of the Great Game Donald Trump wants Bagram Air Base back – the Taliban categorically refuse. What sounds like another chapter in the endless Afghanistan conflict could be the prelude to a new geopolitical escalation. Because Afghanistan was never just Afghanistan: It’s China’s resource reservoir, Russia’s security zone, Pakistan’s strategic depth,…
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Trump, Russia, Anchorage and €197 Billion: A Brilliant Geopolitical Gambit
€197 billion in frozen Russian assets are sitting in Europe — officially reserved for Ukraine, potentially the key to a far bigger geopolitical deal. Trump could force Europe to pay for the war, reintegrate Russia economically into the U.S. orbit and free American power to confront China. This scenario sounds speculative — but it follows…
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The Forbidden Alliance: Why Germany and Russia Must Not Be Partners
A German-Russian alliance would offer enormous economic, technological and geopolitical advantages — yet Berlin has chosen the exact opposite path for decades. Why does Germany act against its own national interests while aligning with Washington’s strategic goals? This article traces that course back to the long-standing U.S. doctrine of preventing a Berlin-Moscow axis. 1.035 words *…