Category Geopolitics

The Realignment – Part 2

The Iran war is fundamentally reshaping the Middle East. Washington is losing its role as a reliable security guarantor, while regional powers are beginning to construct an order of their own. Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan have forged a new defense alliance through the Mecca Pact. Israel, Greece, and Cyprus are consolidating a rival axis. Military tensions between Ankara and Jerusalem are intensifying, while even Netanyahu is preparing for a future without American military assistance.
What is emerging is not a stable new order, but a dangerous web of competing interests, military alliances, and strategic dependencies. Ironically, Washington's attempt to retain control over the arteries of the global economy may undermine the very power structures that sustained Western dominance for decades.
The decisive question is no longer who controls the Middle East - but what happens when no one is capable of controlling it anymore.

the HOLLISTER – November 2026

The world is undergoing a profound transformation. Traditional alliances are coming under pressure, geopolitical power blocs are realigning, and international conflicts are reshaping the global balance of power. From Washington to Moscow, Tehran to Beijing, today's decisions are defining tomorrow's world order. "the HOLLISTER" – November 2026 examines the underlying forces, analyzes geopolitical interests, and reveals connections often overlooked in daily news coverage. Independent, critical, and focused on the bigger picture. For just $5.

“Not Officially”

German federal prosecutors allege that Ukrainian state authorities commissioned the Nord Stream sabotage, while Germany's Federal Court of Justice considers foreign state involvement highly probable. Yet Zelenskyy insists Ukraine was never "officially" involved. Why that single word matters, why the refusal to cooperate with an investigation does not necessarily establish personal guilt, and what responsibility a commander-in-chief bears regardless of prior knowledge. An analysis of state responsibility, political interests, and the remarkable silence of the German government.

Newsletter No. 48

What connects a gigantic AI factory in space, Europe’s emerging defense architecture, Kaliningrad, global sea lanes, and the question of who gets to define political rules? Newsletter No. 48 examines the architecture of power - the structures beneath visible decisions that determine who can act, who remains dependent, and where real control ultimately lies.

First Blown Up, Now Coveted: What Washington’s New Interest in Nord Stream Reveals

For years, Nord Stream appeared politically finished: sabotaged, sanctioned, and turned into a symbol of Europe’s break with Russian energy. Now American and Russian representatives are discussing a possible U.S. investment in that very infrastructure. Coincidence, reversal, or part of a broader strategy? A look at Venezuela, Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, and Panama reveals a recurring pattern: Whoever controls energy sources and transport routes controls dependencies. Nord Stream could become the next link in that chain.

Sanctioned, Bought, Blown Up, Negotiated: Trump’s Energy Week and the Break with Kyiv – Part 1

Within days, Washington eases sanctions on Russian diesel, pressures Europe to release strategic reserves, brings Nord Stream back into negotiations, and openly questions Ukraine’s president at the same time. What looks like a series of contradictory decisions follows a common logic on closer inspection: energy is becoming an instrument of political leverage. Part 1 reconstructs Trump’s energy week between Moscow, Brussels, and Kyiv - and shows how quickly old red lines disappear once supply, prices, and strategic interests collide.

The Omitted “If”: How a Response Was Turned into a Nuclear Threat – Part 2

It is not merely the number of NATO exercises around Kaliningrad that has changed, but their character: Forces, command structures, and military capabilities are being integrated into a permanent operational architecture. At the same time, Russia has lowered the threshold in its nuclear doctrine while direct communication between the 2 sides has largely disappeared. Part 2 examines the capabilities actually being built - and why a single mistake could trigger an escalation that may prove impossible to contain.

the HOLLISTER – October 2026

What shapes world events - and whose interests lie behind them? The October issue of "the HOLLISTER" brings together geopolitical analysis, global conflict updates and explorations of power structures and historical connections. From Kaliningrad and the Russia-Ukraine war to the Iran-US-Israel conflict and strategic energy routes, this overview grows throughout the month, with short introductions and direct links to the articles. It helps you follow the major themes and see what a month of independent research delivers. You can pay for exclusive articles individually or support the entire monthly issue for US$ 5. Articles also published elsewhere remain free.