Michael Hollister

Michael Hollister

Germany as a Protectorate

Germany is considered a sovereign state – but does it act like one?
This analysis examines why the Federal Republic has operated with limited autonomy in foreign, security, and economic policy since 1945.
From U.S. military bases and intelligence dependency to the Nord Stream sabotage: a sober assessment of German sovereignty beyond official narratives.

Iran’s Nuclear Poker – Part 1

After coordinated U.S.–Israeli strikes on Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, Iran retreats into strategic ambiguity: no inspections, no transparency, shifting narratives. But is this opacity a calculated bargaining tactic – or the opening move toward nuclear breakout? This analysis dissects Iran’s nuclear poker game between deterrence, internal pressure, regional escalation, and a global nuclear revival, revealing why Tehran is far more vulnerable than it wants its adversaries to believe.

BOARD OF PEACE – Part 2

Part 2 of the Board of Peace analysis dissects the actual structure behind the so-called Gaza “peace plan”:
A four-layer power architecture under Donald Trump’s lifetime control, dominated by real-estate developers, private-equity financiers, and political figureheads.
Based on the official White House primary source, this piece exposes how reconstruction, displacement, investment, and military control are fused into a single system—without Palestinian consent, but with clearly defined beneficiaries.

The US-Materials Paradox

The most critical vulnerability of U.S. military power lies not on the battlefield, but in its supply chains.
This article examines how deep dependence on Chinese-controlled critical materials systematically undermines Washington’s deterrence posture in the Indo-Pacific. Drawing on Pentagon data, RAND assessments, and industrial analyses, it reveals a strategic catch-22 in which military action appears urgent—but materially unsustainable.

BOARD OF PEACE – Part 1

Donald Trump presents himself as a peacemaker for Gaza – through the creation of a so-called “Board of Peace.” But behind the humanitarian rhetoric lies a far more disturbing reality.
In Part 1 of this three-part series, I dismantle the origins, historical backdrop, and legal contradictions of this initiative. When those who enabled destruction suddenly claim to deliver peace, the claim itself demands scrutiny.
This first installment exposes why the “Board of Peace” is not a solution, but a structural continuation of power, impunity, and geopolitical coercion. Parts 2 and 3 will reveal who stands to gain – and why Gaza is merely the test case.

OPERATION PIVOT

A president who openly discards international law. Four global fronts. And a final attempt to save American hegemony.
“Operation Pivot” reveals why Trump’s actions are not chaos, but a ruthless strategy: oil, chokepoints, de-dollarization – and a world order collapsing in real time.

The US-War on Drugs

The “War on Drugs” functions less as a security policy than as a geopolitical tool.
Drawing on international drug data, historical precedents, and recent escalations, this article exposes how US drug-war rhetoric is repeatedly used to legitimize interventions, covert operations, and power projection—even where empirical evidence fails to support the official narrative.

CIA & Drug Trafficking:

Six decades. Three continents. One recurring pattern.
From Vietnam and Nicaragua to Afghanistan and Venezuela, this timeline exposes how the so-called “War on Drugs” was repeatedly subordinated to geopolitical objectives. Tolerance, instrumentalization, and selective outrage emerge as structural features of covert power projection—leaving destruction far beyond the drug trade itself.

Thailand’s Impossible Border:

Myanmar is collapsing next door – and Thailand is running out of room to maneuver.
As civil war, criminal networks and state fragmentation spill across borders, Bangkok is caught between humanitarian pressure, economic dependencies and great-power interests. ASEAN remains paralyzed, China quietly consolidates influence, and Thailand finds itself managing a crisis it can neither solve nor escape.

Greenland as a Turning Point – Add-On

Greenland is not a frozen backwater — it is the breaking point of the Western security order. If the United States is willing to threaten NATO territory, a taboo collapses: who defends the alliance when the aggressor comes from within? This analysis explains why Greenland marks the next escalation after Venezuela — and why NATO may not survive it.