Tag United States

UPDATE: US AND ISRAEL ATTACK IRAN – June 24, 2026

The Buergenstock talks were meant to chart a path out of war. Yet only days after the memorandum was signed, Washington and Tehran are already presenting fundamentally different versions of what was agreed. Nuclear inspections, frozen Iranian assets, the future management of regional shipping and Iran’s missile programme remain disputed in four crucial areas. At the same time, the ceasefire in southern Lebanon is eroding, Donald Trump is again threatening Iran with military force, and the US Congress is challenging the president’s unauthorized conduct of the war. This update reconstructs what was actually decided in Switzerland - and why the emerging peace process already rests on a signed disagreement.

UPDATE: US AND ISRAEL ATTACK IRAN – June 21, 2026

The Islamabad Memorandum has entered into force, but its first days already expose the gap between paper and reality: while Washington and Tehran try to establish a new framework, the war in Lebanon keeps escalating, Israel challenges the deal’s political logic, and implementation is stalled before real negotiations have even begun.

UPDATE: US AND ISRAEL ATTACK IRAN – June 17, 2026

The memorandum has been digitally signed and the formal ceremony is being prepared - yet peace remains out of reach. While Washington and Tehran open a 60-day window for negotiations, Israel continues its strikes in Lebanon, refuses to withdraw and insists that it is not bound by the agreement. The supposed breakthrough therefore carries the seeds of its own collapse: the decisive front no longer runs between the United States and Iran, but through Beirut.

UPDATE: US AND ISRAEL ATTACK IRAN – June 14, 2026

Within 48 hours, the crisis shifted from a threatened U.S. move against Iran’s oil infrastructure to the announced Islamabad Declaration. But the emerging deal is not a peace settlement; it is a fragile interim framework, still unsigned, interpreted differently by Washington, Tehran and Jerusalem, and burdened by unresolved disputes over Hormuz, Lebanon and frozen Iranian assets. The same text is being read in three directions - and that built-in ambiguity may already contain the next escalation.

UPDATE – US AND ISRAEL ATTACK IRAN – June 10, 2026

Beirut ignites the chain, Iran fires, Israel strikes back - and in the Gulf, the conflict shifts into a direct U.S.-Iran exchange. Between June 7 and June 10, several fronts converged into a new escalation pattern: Israeli strikes in Lebanon and Iran, Iranian missiles targeting Israel, CENTCOM operations near Hormuz, and retaliatory attacks on U.S.-linked bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan. While Washington keeps the negotiation track open, the military facts are moving faster than diplomacy.

UPDATE – US AND ISRAEL ATTACK IRAN – June 03, 2026

Between May 31 and June 3, the confrontation between the United States, Israel, and Iran entered a new phase of operational routine: U.S. blockade enforcement in the Gulf, Iranian retaliation against Kuwait and Bahrain, renewed CENTCOM strikes on Qeshm Island, and negotiations whose real status remains deeply contradictory. While Washington publicly sets conditions for reopening Hormuz and Tehran threatens additional choke-point pressure, Israel’s expanding operations in Lebanon add another front to the crisis. This update documents the key military, diplomatic, and regional developments in a conflict where war and negotiation no longer exclude each other, but now proceed in parallel.

B – Who Profits from the Gulf War?

The IEA Oil Market Report of May 2026 reads like a sober data document - yet between the numbers, a new global oil order becomes visible. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has not only driven prices to historic highs, but also shifted trade flows, created winners, and exposed strategic dependencies. While Asia comes under supply pressure, the United States, Brazil, Venezuela, and the UAE emerge as beneficiaries of a new Atlantic Basin rotation. What appears to be a crisis in the Gulf may in fact mark a strategic redistribution of the global energy system.

UPDATE – US AND ISRAEL ATTACK IRAN – May 31, 2026

While Washington speaks of a deal within reach, the reality points in the opposite direction: no signed MoU, continued military strikes, an escalating war in Lebanon, and open threats against Oman. The Iran war is entering a new phase in which diplomacy and military coercion no longer run in parallel but actively undermine each other. This update examines why the alleged agreement remains politically blocked - and why the real escalation is already unfolding far beyond the formal negotiation track.

UPDATE – US AND ISRAEL ATTACK IRAN – May 27, 2026

Four days after Trump declared a deal with Iran was “largely negotiated,” no agreement has been signed. As Washington and Tehran continue to haggle in Doha over Hormuz, sanctions, and highly enriched uranium, new US strikes on Iran and Israel’s major escalation in southern Lebanon are pushing the conflict in the opposite direction. The real test of these talks is therefore no longer confined to Tehran or Washington, but unfolding in Lebanon, where diplomacy and military realities collide in real time.

UPDATE – US AND ISRAEL ATTACK IRAN – May 24, 2026

Trump has announced a “largely negotiated” Iran deal - but Tehran immediately contradicted key parts of Washington’s version. While the White House signals the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, Iran is institutionalizing its control over the chokepoint, pushing the nuclear issue into an uncertain second phase, and negotiating through Pakistan, Qatar, and regional intermediaries from a stronger position than expected. With Tulsi Gabbard’s resignation, renewed U.S. strike preparations, and growing resistance in Congress, the MoU looks less like a peace agreement than a temporary pause before the hardest questions return.