Tag RAND Corporation

Twelve Think Tanks, Thirty Studies – One Mission

What the Trump administration has been executing since January 2025 - in Venezuela, Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Indo-Pacific - looks like the improvisation of an unpredictable president. It is the opposite: the systematic implementation of a recommendation list written by twelve American think tanks between 2014 and 2026 in more than 30 studies. An analysis of how think tank language becomes Pentagon doctrine - and why the window is closing in 2026.

Buying Time at Any Cost – Part 8

The United States still holds military superiority - but the window is closing. China is catching up, Russia is seeking allies, Europe is rearming. Is this historical coincidence or the architecture of a grand strategy? An analysis of the structural pressures driving Washington to manage multiple conflict zones simultaneously - and who ends up footing the bill.

Follow the Oil -Part 1- How Washington Is Dismantling China’s Energy Supply

Syria, Venezuela, Iran, Panama. The list of U.S. military operations and pressure campaigns over the past 25 years reads like an atlas of global oil reserves. No coincidence — but the operational logic of a closing window. Washington has known since the 2016 RAND study that China must be contained before it reaches military parity with the United States, and that window closes around 2026. What has followed is the systematic dismantling of China's energy supply: seizing the world's largest oil reserves in Venezuela, bombing China's most important oil supplier in Iran, severing the Belt and Road land corridor through Syria, and expelling Chinese port operators from Panama. Follow the oil. It tells you more about the future of the world order than any press conference ever will.

From RAND Study to National Security Strategy

The U.S. National Security Strategy of November 2025 pivots to the Pacific, declares Russia irrelevant, and effectively designates the EU as an adversary. What appears to be Trump's whim is the verbatim implementation of RAND studies from 2016 and 2017. America's most influential think tank war-gamed a conflict with China and defined a "window until 2035" for military superiority. Today, these recommendations appear word-for-word in official U.S. doctrine. RAND plans – Washington executes.

Venezuela: Escalation as Announced

The bombing of Caracas and the capture of President Maduro appear as a shocking escalation – yet they were planned in advance. US think tanks openly outlined the scenario years ago. Venezuela exposes how regime change, violations of international law, and military force are now exercised without disguise – and why the so-called rules-based order is collapsing.

Venezuela Intervention Part 2

Venezuela: Who Profits, Who Plans, Who Pays? To understand Venezuela, you have to follow the money.
Part 2 exposes the actors driving the escalation: defense contractors, energy giants, think tanks, exile networks, and political donors – complete with names, numbers, and documented influence mechanisms. This chapter dismantles the architecture of a system where interventions are not driven by security concerns but by profit, geopolitical leverage, and long-term strategic positioning. It reveals how Venezuela has become the convergence point of global power interests – and why the forces pushing for escalation are far stronger than any warnings against it.

EDIP: How the EU is Converting Europe into a War Economy

EDIP: How the EU is Converting Europe into a War Economy * While civilian industries collapse and social budgets are slashed, Europe is undergoing a massive military transformation. The EU's €150 billion European Defence Industry Programme (EDIP) isn't just about defense—it's the blueprint for converting Europe's economy from peacetime production to permanent war footing. This investigation reveals how think tank strategies, corporate profits, and geopolitical maneuvering are reshaping the continent into a militarized economic zone designed to bind Russia while the US pivots to China.