Tag Indo-Pacific

Twelve Think Tanks, Thirty Studies – One Mission

What the Trump administration has been executing since January 2025 - in Venezuela, Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Indo-Pacific - looks like the improvisation of an unpredictable president. It is the opposite: the systematic implementation of a recommendation list written by twelve American think tanks between 2014 and 2026 in more than 30 studies. An analysis of how think tank language becomes Pentagon doctrine - and why the window is closing in 2026.

China – The Silent Maneuver

Since February 28, 2026 - the day the first U.S.-Israeli bombs fell on Iran - China has not sent a single military aircraft into Taiwan's air defense zone. Six days of silence in a strait where escalation had become the baseline. This is not de-escalation. It is calculation: while the United States burns through munitions in the Persian Gulf, delays arms deliveries to Taiwan, and China quietly builds the options it needs for 2027, Beijing is holding the quiet - because right now, it doesn't need anything else.

Thailand: The Frontline Nobody’s Watching

Thailand is no longer on the periphery of the emerging world order – it stands at its center. As great powers reposition across the Pacific, Southeast Asia is becoming the strategic pre-war zone of a potential global conflict. This analysis explains why infrastructure, trade routes, and digital dependencies have become instruments of war – and why Thailand risks shifting from mediator to geopolitical fault line.

From RAND Study to National Security Strategy

The U.S. National Security Strategy of November 2025 pivots to the Pacific, declares Russia irrelevant, and effectively designates the EU as an adversary. What appears to be Trump's whim is the verbatim implementation of RAND studies from 2016 and 2017. America's most influential think tank war-gamed a conflict with China and defined a "window until 2035" for military superiority. Today, these recommendations appear word-for-word in official U.S. doctrine. RAND plans – Washington executes.

The Kra Canal

Thailand faces a once-in-a-century decision: Should it build the long-discussed Kra Canal – a maritime shortcut with massive geopolitical weight – or pursue the quieter Landbridge project linking two oceans by rail and road? This article compares both scenarios in detail: economic opportunities, strategic risks, and regional power shifts. Behind the infrastructure lies a deeper question – will Thailand remain a neutral pivot in Asia, or become an extension of China's sphere of influence? Neither path is neutral, but one may prove wiser. The decision will shape not only Thailand’s future, but the balance of power across the Indo-Pacific.