UPDATE: Russia-Ukraine Conflict – May 29, 2026
By late May 2026, the Russia-Ukraine war has entered a new operational phase. While Moscow is losing ground, manpower and refinery capacity, Ukraine is shifting the center of gravity toward drones, logistics disruption and systematic pressure on Russia’s supply chains. At the same time, Russia is escalating diplomatically, warning Western embassies to leave Kyiv while still withholding its promised negotiation memorandum. This situation report explains why drones, fuel, mobilization, Belarus, China and Trump’s mediation problem are no longer separate issues, but parts of one strategic picture.