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Trump says he was “one hour” away from launching a new large-scale strike on Iran - then called it off. Not because the crisis was resolved, but after appeals from Gulf leaders and under the continued threat of renewed attacks. As Tehran repeats its core demands, Washington counters with terms close to surrender, and the US Senate shows its first visible cracks over the war, another case moves to the center: the US strike on the Minab girls’ school. This update traces a week in which the war did not fully escalate - but the underlying power structures became clearer: in Washington, in Beijing, in Lebanon, and in the unresolved shadow of a strike whose investigation may reveal more than a single operational failure.