Tag Geopolitics

From RAND Study to National Security Strategy

The U.S. National Security Strategy of November 2025 pivots to the Pacific, declares Russia irrelevant, and effectively designates the EU as an adversary. What appears to be Trump's whim is the verbatim implementation of RAND studies from 2016 and 2017. America's most influential think tank war-gamed a conflict with China and defined a "window until 2035" for military superiority. Today, these recommendations appear word-for-word in official U.S. doctrine. RAND plans – Washington executes.

The United States Declares War on Europe

The new US National Security Strategy marks a historic rupture: Europe is no longer seen as a partner, but as a liability. Energetically detached, economically weakened, and politically downgraded, the continent is being strategically discarded. This is not a misunderstanding — it is a silent declaration of war.

The €300 Billion Boomerang

By targeting Russian central bank reserves, Brussels crosses a red line — and puts the euro itself at risk. What is framed as aid for Ukraine could become a €300-billion boomerang: legally, economically, and geopolitically. This article explains why Europe’s financial credibility is irreversibly damaged — and why a gold-backed BRICS currency is emerging at precisely this moment.

Venezuela: Escalation as Announced

The bombing of Caracas and the capture of President Maduro appear as a shocking escalation – yet they were planned in advance. US think tanks openly outlined the scenario years ago. Venezuela exposes how regime change, violations of international law, and military force are now exercised without disguise – and why the so-called rules-based order is collapsing.

The Kra Canal

Thailand faces a once-in-a-century decision: Should it build the long-discussed Kra Canal – a maritime shortcut with massive geopolitical weight – or pursue the quieter Landbridge project linking two oceans by rail and road? This article compares both scenarios in detail: economic opportunities, strategic risks, and regional power shifts. Behind the infrastructure lies a deeper question – will Thailand remain a neutral pivot in Asia, or become an extension of China's sphere of influence? Neither path is neutral, but one may prove wiser. The decision will shape not only Thailand’s future, but the balance of power across the Indo-Pacific.

Zelensky’s 20 Points

What’s presented as a peace plan turns out to be a geopolitical wish list – full of economic ambition, moral posturing, and strategic traps. This point-by-point analysis reveals: Not a single one of the 20 proposals seriously aims at de-escalation with Russia.
Instead of peace, we get management, power games, and PR. Which raises the real question: Who’s playing whom?

China’s Silent Victory

China’s influence in Southeast Asia is not advancing through military force or open confrontation, but through infrastructure, trade, technology, and strategic patience. Thailand—long considered a neutral buffer and a formal U.S. ally—has become a case study in how power quietly shifts in a multipolar world. While the West clings to symbolic partnerships and moral rhetoric, China builds facts on the ground. This analysis explains why Thailand is not “switching sides,” yet increasingly operating within China’s orbit—and what this silent realignment reveals about the broader decline of Western influence in the region.

Venezuela, China, and the Defense of the Petrodollar: Libya 2.0?

Venezuela, China, and the Defense of the Petrodollar: Libya 2.0? * The escalating U.S.–Venezuela confrontation is not about drug trafficking – it’s about oil, China and the survival of the petrodollar. As Caracas shifts its exports into Yuan and Tether, Washington responds with military pressure. Is this the prelude to a “Libya 2.0” — a strike to protect the dollar’s global dominance?

Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and the Idea of an “Arab NATO Light”

Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and the Idea of an "Arab NATO Light" * The new Saudi–Pakistan defense pact may be more than a bilateral agreement: it hints at the emergence of an “Arab NATO light” combining military deterrence, nuclear guarantees and regional power alignment. An analysis of shifting security architectures in the Middle East — and their global implications.

Afghanistan: Trump’s Bagram Move and the New Great Game

Afghanistan: The Dangerous Comeback of the Great Game
Donald Trump wants Bagram Air Base back – the Taliban categorically refuse. What sounds like another chapter in the endless Afghanistan conflict could be the prelude to a new geopolitical escalation. Because Afghanistan was never just Afghanistan: It's China's resource reservoir, Russia's security zone, Pakistan's strategic depth, and Iran's gateway to Central Asia.
While the great powers pursue their interests, the country threatens to become a pawn once again – with fatal consequences for 40 million people. China is buying its way in economically, Russia provides the Taliban with diplomatic backing, Pakistan plays a dangerous double game, and the West still believes in military solutions.