Tag China containment

Follow the Oil -Part 1- How Washington Is Dismantling China’s Energy Supply

Syria, Venezuela, Iran, Panama. The list of U.S. military operations and pressure campaigns over the past 25 years reads like an atlas of global oil reserves. No coincidence — but the operational logic of a closing window. Washington has known since the 2016 RAND study that China must be contained before it reaches military parity with the United States, and that window closes around 2026. What has followed is the systematic dismantling of China's energy supply: seizing the world's largest oil reserves in Venezuela, bombing China's most important oil supplier in Iran, severing the Belt and Road land corridor through Syria, and expelling Chinese port operators from Panama. Follow the oil. It tells you more about the future of the world order than any press conference ever will.

From RAND Study to National Security Strategy

The U.S. National Security Strategy of November 2025 pivots to the Pacific, declares Russia irrelevant, and effectively designates the EU as an adversary. What appears to be Trump's whim is the verbatim implementation of RAND studies from 2016 and 2017. America's most influential think tank war-gamed a conflict with China and defined a "window until 2035" for military superiority. Today, these recommendations appear word-for-word in official U.S. doctrine. RAND plans – Washington executes.