Tag global power shift

Sixteen Wars in the Shadow of the Headlines

While Ukraine, Gaza and Iran dominate the headlines, at least sixteen other wars and armed conflicts are escalating beyond the focus of global public attention. From Sudan, Myanmar and the Congo to Mexico, Pakistan and the Red Sea, this global situation report reveals how resources, trade routes, state collapse and the retreat of Western power are reshaping the world’s map of violence. What appears to be a collection of isolated regional crises is, in fact, the visible pattern of a historic transition from a unipolar to a multipolar world order.

Hollister’s Geopolitics Compass * May 2026

May 2026 was the month in which supply itself became a weapon. What appeared in the headlines as separate crises - Hormuz, Ukraine, Europe, the Sahel, Cuba, the South Caucasus - reveals a deeper common logic: energy, raw materials, sea lanes and military power are once again being used as one integrated pressure system. Hollister’s Geopolitical Compass does not sort events by noise, but by impact: who gains room to maneuver, who loses it, and which global chains begin to break when supply, security and geopolitics merge.

IRAN – Look East – Part 5

Looking East – Iran’s strategic balancing act in a shifting multipolar world.
Through BRICS expansion, SCO membership, and closer ties with China and Russia, Tehran seeks to overcome Western isolation. Yet behind the rhetoric of a new world order lies a fragile equilibrium shaped by sanctions, competing interests, and limited economic integration. A geopolitical deep dive into Iran’s “Look East” doctrine and the realities behind multipolar ambition.

Thailand: The Frontline Nobody’s Watching

Thailand is no longer on the periphery of the emerging world order – it stands at its center. As great powers reposition across the Pacific, Southeast Asia is becoming the strategic pre-war zone of a potential global conflict. This analysis explains why infrastructure, trade routes, and digital dependencies have become instruments of war – and why Thailand risks shifting from mediator to geopolitical fault line.

China’s Silent Victory

China’s influence in Southeast Asia is not advancing through military force or open confrontation, but through infrastructure, trade, technology, and strategic patience. Thailand—long considered a neutral buffer and a formal U.S. ally—has become a case study in how power quietly shifts in a multipolar world. While the West clings to symbolic partnerships and moral rhetoric, China builds facts on the ground. This analysis explains why Thailand is not “switching sides,” yet increasingly operating within China’s orbit—and what this silent realignment reveals about the broader decline of Western influence in the region.