Analyses

When official narratives don’t add up, when policy decisions seem disconnected from their stated goals, when the same patterns repeat across decades — that’s where my work begins. I reconstruct the strategic interests behind political decisions by analyzing primary sources, think tank publications, military doctrines, and economic data. The focus: understanding who benefits, which historical patterns persist, and how power actually operates beneath the surface of daily news cycles.
Published In: Independent analysis featured in Overton MagazineApolut Media, and Free21 — available here in English and German.

Analysis that respects your intelligence. Sources you can verify. Context that matters.

  • Afghanistan: Trump’s Bagram Move and the New Great Game

    Afghanistan: The Dangerous Comeback of the Great Game Donald Trump wants Bagram Air Base back – the Taliban categorically refuse. What sounds like another chapter in the endless Afghanistan conflict could be the prelude to a new geopolitical escalation. Because Afghanistan was never just Afghanistan: It’s China’s resource reservoir, Russia’s security zone, Pakistan’s strategic depth,…

  • Trump, Russia, Anchorage and €197 Billion: A Brilliant Geopolitical Gambit

    €197 billion in frozen Russian assets are sitting in Europe — officially reserved for Ukraine, potentially the key to a far bigger geopolitical deal. Trump could force Europe to pay for the war, reintegrate Russia economically into the U.S. orbit and free American power to confront China. This scenario sounds speculative — but it follows…

  • Arming Into Decline: Why Germany and the EU Are Investing in War

    While Germany’s economy is collapsing, the state is quietly converting the economy into a war-production model. Tanks, ammunition and military budgets are replacing traditional growth engines — rearmament has become a state-approved economic program. This article argues that this is not about defense, but about a deliberate shift toward a war economy that only works…

  • The Forbidden Alliance: Why Germany and Russia Must Not Be Partners

    A German-Russian alliance would offer enormous economic, technological and geopolitical advantages — yet Berlin has chosen the exact opposite path for decades. Why does Germany act against its own national interests while aligning with Washington’s strategic goals? This article traces that course back to the long-standing U.S. doctrine of preventing a Berlin-Moscow axis. 1.035 words *…